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      The Feasibility of Canine Rabies Elimination in Africa: Dispelling Doubts with Data

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          Abstract

          Background

          Canine rabies causes many thousands of human deaths every year in Africa, and continues to increase throughout much of the continent.

          Methodology/Principal Findings

          This paper identifies four common reasons given for the lack of effective canine rabies control in Africa: (a) a low priority given for disease control as a result of lack of awareness of the rabies burden; (b) epidemiological constraints such as uncertainties about the required levels of vaccination coverage and the possibility of sustained cycles of infection in wildlife; (c) operational constraints including accessibility of dogs for vaccination and insufficient knowledge of dog population sizes for planning of vaccination campaigns; and (d) limited resources for implementation of rabies surveillance and control. We address each of these issues in turn, presenting data from field studies and modelling approaches used in Tanzania, including burden of disease evaluations, detailed epidemiological studies, operational data from vaccination campaigns in different demographic and ecological settings, and economic analyses of the cost-effectiveness of dog vaccination for human rabies prevention.

          Conclusions/Significance

          We conclude that there are no insurmountable problems to canine rabies control in most of Africa; that elimination of canine rabies is epidemiologically and practically feasible through mass vaccination of domestic dogs; and that domestic dog vaccination provides a cost-effective approach to the prevention and elimination of human rabies deaths.

          Author Summary

          Elimination of canine rabies has been achieved in some parts of the world, but the disease still kills many thousands of people each year in Africa. Here we counter common arguments given for the lack of effective canine rabies control in Africa presenting detailed data from a range of settings. We conclude that (1) rabies substantially affects public and animal health sectors, hence regional and national priorities for control ought to be higher, (2) for practical purposes domestic dogs are the sole maintenance hosts and main source of infection for humans throughout most of Africa and Asia and sufficient levels of vaccination coverage in domestic dog populations should lead to elimination of canine rabies in most areas, (3) the vast majority of domestic dog populations across sub-Saharan Africa are accessible for vaccination with community sensitization being of paramount importance for the success of these programs, (4) improved local capacity in rabies surveillance and diagnostics will help evaluate the impact of control and elimination efforts, and (5) sustainable resources for effective dog vaccination campaigns are likely to be available through the development of intersectoral financing schemes involving both medical and veterinary sectors.

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          Most cited references74

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          The global burden for disease: A comprehensive assessment of mortality and disability from diseases, injuries and risk factors in 1990 and projected to 2020

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            Quantifying the burden of disease: the technical basis for disability-adjusted life years.

            C. Murray (1994)
            Detailed assumptions used in constructing a new indicator of the burden of disease, the disability-adjusted life year (DALY), are presented. Four key social choices in any indicator of the burden of disease are carefully reviewed. First, the advantages and disadvantages of various methods of calculating the duration of life lost due to a death at each age are discussed. DALYs use a standard expected-life lost based on model life-table West Level 26. Second, the value of time lived at different ages is captured in DALYs using an exponential function which reflects the dependence of the young and the elderly on adults. Third, the time lived with a disability is made comparable with the time lost due to premature mortality by defining six classes of disability severity. Assigned to each class is a severity weight between 0 and 1. Finally, a three percent discount rate is used in the calculation of DALYs. The formula for calculating DALYs based on these assumptions is provided.
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              Re-evaluating the burden of rabies in Africa and Asia.

              To quantify the public health and economic burden of endemic canine rabies in Africa and Asia. Data from these regions were applied to a set of linked epidemiological and economic models. The human population at risk from endemic canine rabies was predicted using data on dog density, and human rabies deaths were estimated using a series of probability steps to determine the likelihood of clinical rabies developing in a person after being bitten by a dog suspected of having rabies. Model outputs on mortality and morbidity associated with rabies were used to calculate an improved disability-adjusted life year (DALY) score for the disease. The total societal cost incurred by the disease is presented. Human mortality from endemic canine rabies was estimated to be 55 000 deaths per year (90% confidence interval (CI) = 24 000-93 000). Deaths due to rabies are responsible for 1.74 million DALYs lost each year (90% CI = 0.75-2.93). An additional 0.04 million DALYs are lost through morbidity and mortality following side-effects of nerve-tissue vaccines. The estimated annual cost of rabies is USD 583.5 million (90% CI = USD 540.1-626.3 million). Patient-borne costs for post-exposure treatment form the bulk of expenditure, accounting for nearly half the total costs of rabies. Rabies remains an important yet neglected disease in Africa and Asia. Disparities in the affordability and accessibility of post-exposure treatment and risks of exposure to rabid dogs result in a skewed distribution of the disease burden across society, with the major impact falling on those living in poor rural communities, in particular children.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: Editor
                Journal
                PLoS Negl Trop Dis
                plos
                plosntds
                PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases
                Public Library of Science (San Francisco, USA )
                1935-2727
                1935-2735
                February 2010
                23 February 2010
                : 4
                : 2
                : e626
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Boyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom
                [2 ]Davee Center for Epidemiology and Endocrinology, Lincoln Park Zoo, Chicago, Illinois, United States of America
                [3 ]Department of Animal and Plant Sciences, University of Sheffield, Western Bank, Sheffield, United Kingdom
                [4 ]Serengeti Carnivore Viral Transmission Dynamics Project, Tanzania Wildlife Research Institute, Arusha, Tanzania
                [5 ]Sokoine University of Agriculture, Department of Veterinary Medicine and Public Health, Morogoro, Tanzania
                Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, United States of America
                Author notes

                Conceived and designed the experiments: TL KH MTK DK RRK DTH SC. Performed the experiments: TL KH MTK EE DK RRK DTH SC. Analyzed the data: TL KH MTK DK DTH SC. Wrote the paper: TL KH DK SC.

                † Deceased October 2008.

                Article
                09-PNTD-RA-0222R3
                10.1371/journal.pntd.0000626
                2826407
                20186330
                01bf55ba-6dae-4a8b-9d6d-8a51bb38d11d
                Lembo et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
                History
                : 26 May 2009
                : 22 January 2010
                Page count
                Pages: 9
                Categories
                Research Article
                Infectious Diseases/Epidemiology and Control of Infectious Diseases
                Infectious Diseases/Infectious Diseases of the Nervous System
                Infectious Diseases/Neglected Tropical Diseases
                Infectious Diseases/Viral Infections

                Infectious disease & Microbiology
                Infectious disease & Microbiology

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