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      Prediction of factors influencing the timing and prognosis of early tracheostomy in patients with multiple rib fractures: A propensity score matching analysis

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          Abstract

          Objective

          To investigate the factors affecting the timing and prognosis of early tracheostomy in multiple rib fracture patients.

          Methods

          A retrospective case-control study was used to analyze the clinical data of 222 patients with multiple rib fractures who underwent tracheotomy in the Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University from February 2015 to October 2021. According to the time from tracheal intubation to tracheostomy after admission, the patients were divided into two groups: the early tracheostomy group (within 7 days after tracheal intubation, ET) and late tracheostomy group (after the 7th day, LT). Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to eliminate the differences in baseline characteristics Logistic regression was used to predict the independent risk factors for early tracheostomy. Kaplan–Meier and Cox survival analyses were used to analyze the influencing factors of the 28-day survival.

          Results

          According to the propensity score matching analysis, a total of 174 patients were finally included in the study. Among them, there were 87 patients in the ET group and 87 patients in the LT group. After propensity score matching, Number of total rib fractures (NTRF) ( P < 0.001), Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) ( P < 0.001) and Volume of pulmonary contusion(VPC) ( P < 0.000) in the ET group were higher than those in the LT group. Univariate analysis showed that the patients who underwent ET had a higher survival rate than those who underwent LT ( P = 0.021). Pearson's analysis showed that there was a significant correlation between NTRF and VPC ( r = 0.369, P = 0.001). A receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis showed that the areas under the curves were 0.832 and 0.804. The best cutoff-value values of the VPC and NTRF were 23.9 and 8.5, respectively. The Cox survival analysis showed that the timing of tracheostomy (HR = 2.51 95% CI, 1.12–5.57, P = 0.004) and age (HR = 1.53 95% CI, 1.00–2.05, P = 0.042) of the patients had a significant impact on the 28-day survival of patients with multiple rib fractures. In addition, The Kaplan–Meier survival analysis showed that the 28-day survival of patients in the ET group was significantly better than that of the LT group, P = 0.01.

          Conclusions

          NTRF, ADRS and VPC are independent risk factors for the timing and prognosis of early tracheotomy. A VPC ≥ 23.9% and/or an NTRF ≥ 8.5 could be used as predictors of ET in patients with multiple rib fractures. Predicting the timing of early tracheostomy also need prediction models in the future.

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          Most cited references32

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          Acute respiratory distress syndrome: the Berlin Definition.

          The acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) was defined in 1994 by the American-European Consensus Conference (AECC); since then, issues regarding the reliability and validity of this definition have emerged. Using a consensus process, a panel of experts convened in 2011 (an initiative of the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine endorsed by the American Thoracic Society and the Society of Critical Care Medicine) developed the Berlin Definition, focusing on feasibility, reliability, validity, and objective evaluation of its performance. A draft definition proposed 3 mutually exclusive categories of ARDS based on degree of hypoxemia: mild (200 mm Hg < PaO2/FIO2 ≤ 300 mm Hg), moderate (100 mm Hg < PaO2/FIO2 ≤ 200 mm Hg), and severe (PaO2/FIO2 ≤ 100 mm Hg) and 4 ancillary variables for severe ARDS: radiographic severity, respiratory system compliance (≤40 mL/cm H2O), positive end-expiratory pressure (≥10 cm H2O), and corrected expired volume per minute (≥10 L/min). The draft Berlin Definition was empirically evaluated using patient-level meta-analysis of 4188 patients with ARDS from 4 multicenter clinical data sets and 269 patients with ARDS from 3 single-center data sets containing physiologic information. The 4 ancillary variables did not contribute to the predictive validity of severe ARDS for mortality and were removed from the definition. Using the Berlin Definition, stages of mild, moderate, and severe ARDS were associated with increased mortality (27%; 95% CI, 24%-30%; 32%; 95% CI, 29%-34%; and 45%; 95% CI, 42%-48%, respectively; P < .001) and increased median duration of mechanical ventilation in survivors (5 days; interquartile [IQR], 2-11; 7 days; IQR, 4-14; and 9 days; IQR, 5-17, respectively; P < .001). Compared with the AECC definition, the final Berlin Definition had better predictive validity for mortality, with an area under the receiver operating curve of 0.577 (95% CI, 0.561-0.593) vs 0.536 (95% CI, 0.520-0.553; P < .001). This updated and revised Berlin Definition for ARDS addresses a number of the limitations of the AECC definition. The approach of combining consensus discussions with empirical evaluation may serve as a model to create more accurate, evidence-based, critical illness syndrome definitions and to better inform clinical care, research, and health services planning.
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            Effect of early vs late tracheostomy placement on survival in patients receiving mechanical ventilation: the TracMan randomized trial.

            Tracheostomy is a widely used intervention in adult critical care units. There is little evidence to guide clinicians regarding the optimal timing for this procedure. To test whether early vs late tracheostomy would be associated with lower mortality in adult patients requiring mechanical ventilation in critical care units. An open multicentered randomized clinical trial conducted between 2004 and 2011 involving 70 adult general and 2 cardiothoracic critical care units in 13 university and 59 nonuniversity hospitals in the United Kingdom. Of 1032 eligible patients, 909 adult patients breathing with the aid of mechanical ventilation for less than 4 days and identified by the treating physician as likely to require at least 7 more days of mechanical ventilation. Patients were randomized 1:1 to early tracheostomy (within 4 days) or late tracheostomy (after 10 days if still indicated). The primary outcome measure was 30-day mortality and the analysis was by intention to treat. Of the 455 patients assigned to early tracheostomy, 91.9% (95% CI, 89.0%-94.1%) received a tracheostomy and of 454 assigned to late tracheostomy, 44.9% (95% CI, 40.4%-49.5%) received a tracheostomy. All-cause mortality 30 days after randomization was 30.8% (95% CI, 26.7%-35.2%) in the early and 31.5% (95% CI, 27.3%-35.9%) in the late group (absolute risk reduction for early vs late, 0.7%; 95% CI, -5.4% to 6.7%). Two-year mortality was 51.0% (95% CI, 46.4%-55.6%) in the early and 53.7% (95% CI, 49.1%-58.3%) in the late group (P = .74). Median critical care unit length of stay in survivors was 13.0 days in the early and 13.1 days in the late group (P = .74). Tracheostomy-related complications were reported for 6.3% (95% CI, 4.6%-8.5%) of patients (5.5% in the early group, 7.8% in the late group). For patients breathing with the aid of mechanical ventilation treated in adult critical care units in the United Kingdom, tracheostomy within 4 days of critical care admission was not associated with an improvement in 30-day mortality or other important secondary outcomes. The ability of clinicians to predict which patients required extended ventilatory support was limited. isrctn.org Identifier: ISRCTN28588190.
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              A prospective, randomized, study comparing early percutaneous dilational tracheotomy to prolonged translaryngeal intubation (delayed tracheotomy) in critically ill medical patients.

              The timing of tracheotomy in patients requiring mechanical ventilation is unknown. The effects of early percutaneous dilational tracheotomy compared with delayed tracheotomy in critically ill medical patients needing prolonged mechanical ventilation were assessed. Prospective, randomized study. Medical intensive care units. One hundred and twenty patients projected to need ventilation >14 days. None. Patients were prospectively randomized to either early percutaneous tracheotomy within 48 hrs or delayed tracheotomy at days 14-16. Time in the intensive care unit and on mechanical ventilation and the cumulative frequency of pneumonia, mortality, and accidental extubation were documented. The airway was assessed for oral, labial, laryngeal, and tracheal damage. Early group showed significantly less mortality (31.7% vs. 61.7%), pneumonia (5% vs. 25%), and accidental extubations compared with the prolonged translaryngeal group (0 vs. 6). The early tracheotomy group spent less time in the intensive care unit (4.8 +/- 1.4 vs. 16.2 +/- 3.8 days) and on mechanical ventilation (7.6 +/- 2.0 vs. 17.4 +/- 5.3 days). There was also significantly more damage to mouth and larynx in the prolonged translaryngeal intubation group. This study demonstrates that the benefits of early tracheotomy outweigh the risks of prolonged translaryngeal intubation. It gives credence to the practice of subjecting this group of critically ill medical patients to early tracheotomy rather than delayed tracheotomy.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                Front Surg
                Front Surg
                Front. Surg.
                Frontiers in Surgery
                Frontiers Media S.A.
                2296-875X
                23 September 2022
                2022
                : 9
                : 944971
                Affiliations
                [ 1 ]Department of Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University , Dalian, China
                [ 2 ]Department of Emergency Intensive Care Medicine(EICU), affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University , Yangzhou, China
                [ 3 ]Department of Critical Care Medicine, affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University , Yangzhou, China
                Author notes

                Edited by: Marco Scarci, Hammersmith Hospital, United Kingdom

                Reviewed by: Francesco Zaraca, Ospedale di Bolzano, Italy Savvas Lampridis, Guy's and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, United Kingdom

                [* ] Correspondence: Xian-Yao Wan wanxianyao1624@ 123456163.com Yong Li yzliyong0304@ 123456163.com
                [ † ]

                These authors have contributed equally to this work

                Specialty Section: This article was submitted to Thoracic Surgery, a section of the journal Frontiers in Surgery

                Article
                10.3389/fsurg.2022.944971
                9537817
                36211272
                0105dd5d-2ee1-420f-bf8e-77690d40a7c4
                © 2022 Zhang, Li, Wang, Wu, Shi, Hang, Feng, Li and Wan.

                This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

                History
                : 14 June 2022
                : 05 September 2022
                Page count
                Figures: 4, Tables: 3, Equations: 0, References: 32, Pages: 0, Words: 0
                Funding
                Funded by: Science and technology innovation cultivation fund of Yangzhou University, doi 10.13039/501100007062;
                Award ID: 2019CXJ208
                Funded by: Jiangsu Province 333 High-level Talent, doi 10.13039/501100018592;
                Award ID: BRA2020176
                Categories
                Surgery
                Original Research

                early tracheostomy,multiple rib fractures,propensity score matching,survival,a propensity score matching analysis

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