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      Hyperparathyroidism Is an Independent Risk Factor for Allograft Dysfunction in Pediatric Kidney Transplantation

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          Abstract

          <div class="section"> <a class="named-anchor" id="d3427585e497"> <!-- named anchor --> </a> <h5 class="section-title" id="d3427585e498">Introduction</h5> <p id="d3427585e500">Little is known about the consequences of deranged chronic kidney disease–mineral and bone disorder (CKD-MBD) parameters on kidney allograft function in children. We examined a relationship between these parameters over time and allograft outcome. </p> </div><div class="section"> <a class="named-anchor" id="d3427585e502"> <!-- named anchor --> </a> <h5 class="section-title" id="d3427585e503">Methods</h5> <p id="d3427585e505">This registry study from the Cooperative European Paediatric Renal Transplant Initiative (CERTAIN) collected data at baseline, months 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12 after transplant; and every 6 months thereafter up to 5 years. Survival analysis for a composite end point of graft loss or estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≤30 ml/min per 1.73 m <sup>2</sup> or a ≥50% decline from eGFR at month 1 posttransplant was performed. Associations of parathyroid hormone (PTH), calcium, phosphate, and 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) with allograft outcome were investigated using conventional stratified Cox proportional hazards models and further verified with marginal structural models with time-varying covariates. </p> </div><div class="section"> <a class="named-anchor" id="d3427585e510"> <!-- named anchor --> </a> <h5 class="section-title" id="d3427585e511">Results</h5> <p id="d3427585e513">We report on 1210 patients (61% boys) from 16 European countries. The composite end point was reached in 250 grafts (21%), of which 11 (4%) were allograft losses. In the conventional Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for potential confounders, only hyperparathyroidism (hazard ratio [HR], 2.94; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.82–4.74) and hyperphosphatemia (HR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.28–2.92) were associated with the composite end point. Marginal structural models showed similar results for hyperparathyroidism (HR, 2.74; 95% CI, 1.71–4.38), whereas hyperphosphatemia was no longer significant (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 0.87–2.09), suggesting that its association with graft dysfunction can be ascribed to a decline in eGFR. </p> </div><div class="section"> <a class="named-anchor" id="d3427585e515"> <!-- named anchor --> </a> <h5 class="section-title" id="d3427585e516">Conclusion</h5> <p id="d3427585e518">Hyperparathyroidism is a potential independent risk factor for allograft dysfunction in children. </p> </div><div class="fig panel" id="undfig1"> <a class="named-anchor" id="undfig1"> <!-- named anchor --> </a> <div class="figure-container so-text-align-c"> <img alt="" class="figure" src="/document_file/871c86c3-0a73-4f6c-8550-01e150f91348/PubMedCentral/image/fx1"/> </div> <div class="panel-content"/> </div>

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          Most cited references38

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          Marginal Structural Models and Causal Inference in Epidemiology

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            New equations to estimate GFR in children with CKD.

            The Schwartz formula was devised in the mid-1970s to estimate GFR in children. Recent data suggest that this formula currently overestimates GFR as measured by plasma disappearance of iohexol, likely a result of a change in methods used to measure creatinine. Here, we developed equations to estimate GFR using data from the baseline visits of 349 children (aged 1 to 16 yr) in the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) cohort. Median iohexol-GFR (iGFR) was 41.3 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) (interquartile range 32.0 to 51.7), and median serum creatinine was 1.3 mg/dl. We performed linear regression analyses assessing precision, goodness of fit, and accuracy to develop improvements in the GFR estimating formula, which was based on height, serum creatinine, cystatin C, blood urea nitrogen, and gender. The best equation was: GFR(ml/min per 1.73 m(2))=39.1[height (m)/Scr (mg/dl)](0.516) x [1.8/cystatin C (mg/L)](0.294)[30/BUN (mg/dl)](0.169)[1.099](male)[height (m)/1.4](0.188). This formula yielded 87.7% of estimated GFR within 30% of the iGFR, and 45.6% within 10%. In a test set of 168 CKiD patients at 1 yr of follow-up, this formula compared favorably with previously published estimating equations for children. Furthermore, with height measured in cm, a bedside calculation of 0.413*(height/serum creatinine), provides a good approximation to the estimated GFR formula. Additional studies of children with higher GFR are needed to validate these formulas for use in screening all children for CKD.
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              Marginal structural models and causal inference in epidemiology.

              In observational studies with exposures or treatments that vary over time, standard approaches for adjustment of confounding are biased when there exist time-dependent confounders that are also affected by previous treatment. This paper introduces marginal structural models, a new class of causal models that allow for improved adjustment of confounding in those situations. The parameters of a marginal structural model can be consistently estimated using a new class of estimators, the inverse-probability-of-treatment weighted estimators.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Kidney International Reports
                Kidney International Reports
                Elsevier BV
                24680249
                January 2023
                January 2023
                : 8
                : 1
                : 81-90
                Article
                10.1016/j.ekir.2022.10.018
                94031095-704b-4845-8bef-50f1d07b57ff
                © 2023

                https://www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/

                http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

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