Projected increase in total knee arthroplasty in the United States - an alternative projection model.

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Abstract

The purpose of our study was to estimate the future incidence rate (IR) and volume of primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) in the United States from 2015 to 2050 using a conservative projection model that assumes a maximum IR of procedures. Furthermore, our study compared these projections to a model assuming exponential growth, as done in previous studies, for illustrative purposes.

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Author and article information

Journal

Journal ID (iso-abbrev): Osteoarthr. Cartil.

Title: Osteoarthritis and cartilage

Publisher: Elsevier BV

ISSN (Electronic): 1522-9653

ISSN (Print): 1063-4584

Publication date (Electronic): November 2017

Volume: 25

Issue: 11

Affiliations

[1 ] Quality Use of Medicines and Pharmacy Research Centre, Medicine and Device Surveillance Centre of Research Excellence, Sansom Institute, School of Pharmacy and Medical Sciences, University of South Australia, GPO Box 2471, Adelaide 5001, South Australia, Australia. Electronic address: maria.inacio@unisa.edu.au.

[2 ] Surgical Outcomes and Analysis Department, Kaiser Permanente, San Diego, CA, USA. Electronic address: liz.w.paxton@kp.org.

[3 ] Australian Orthopaedic Association, National Total Joint Replacement Registry, Adelaide, SA, Australia. Electronic address: segraves@aoanjrr.org.au.

[4 ] Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Kaiser Permanente, Orange County, Irvine, CA, USA. Electronic address: Robert.s.namba@kp.org.

[5 ] Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register, Gothenburg, Sweden. Electronic address: szilard.nemes@registercentrum.se.

Article

Publisher Item ID: S1063-4584(17)31130-5

DOI: 10.1016/j.joca.2017.07.022

PubMed ID: 28801208

SO-VID: d6e3bc1b-55d9-4acd-a886-e2668d767741

History

Keywords: Projections,Epidemiology,Incidence rates,Total knee arthroplasty

Data availability:

Keywords: Projections, Epidemiology, Incidence rates, Total knee arthroplasty

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