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      Risk of mortality due to COVID-19 and air pollution in Pakistan

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          Abstract

          The present research aims to investigate the impact of air pollution on the number of mortalities caused by COVID-19 per Pakistani province. To do so, for each independent area of Pakistan, the observed mortality due to COVID-19 has been standardized over the entire population using standard age groups ranging from 0 to 4, 5 to 9, 10 to 14,…, 65, and above years, supported by the 2017 state people census. The impact of air pollution and COVID-19 transience among Pakistani areas, Islamabad Capital Territory (ICT), and the Federally Administered Tribal Region (FATA) was analyzed by a multiple-linear regression model, while the broad collection of attributes was observed by the resources of local spatial autocorrelation indicators, including the spatial portion of COVID-19 association. The result indicates that the observed mortality rate is much higher than predicted in certain provinces, namely, the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Punjab provinces, and the prevalence of PM 10 was independently linked to mortality due to the corona virus. Additionally, the results of the local spatial autocorrelation indicators on the standardized mortality rate and PM 10 define a collection of very higher ideologies in the broad range of KPK and the southern part of Punjab province, respectively, with a definite degree of connection between the two distributions in the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa region. In brief, this research seems to find a justification for confirming the existence of a correlation between the possibility of COVID-19 mortality and air pollution, more precisely considering air pollutants (i.e., particulate (PM 10) and land take-over. To this end, the need to mediate in favor of measures aimed at eliminating emissions in the environment will be reiterated by speeding up current proposals and policies aimed at all causes of atmospheric pollution: urbanization, water and manufacturing, home heating, and transportation.

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          Most cited references14

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          Local Indicators of Spatial Association-LISA

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            Indirect effects of COVID-19 on the environment

            This research aims to show the positive and negative indirect effects of COVID-19 on the environment, particularly in the most affected countries such as China, USA, Italy, and Spain. Our research shows that there is a significant association between contingency measures and improvement in air quality, clean beaches and environmental noise reduction. On the other hand, there are also negative secondary aspects such as the reduction in recycling and the increase in waste, further endangering the contamination of physical spaces (water and land), in addition to air. Global economic activity is expected to return in the coming months in most countries (even if slowly), so decreasing GHG concentrations during a short period is not a sustainable way to clean up our environment.
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              Effects of temperature variation and humidity on the death of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China

              Meteorological parameters are the important factors influencing the infectious diseases such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and influenza. This study aims to explore the association between Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) deaths and weather parameters. In this study, we collected the daily death numbers of COVID-19, meteorological parameters and air pollutant data from 20 January 2020 to 29 February 2020 in Wuhan, China. Generalized additive model was applied to explore the effect of temperature, humidity and diurnal temperature range on the daily death counts of COVID-19. There were 2299 COVID-19 death counts in Wuhan during the study period. A positive association with COVID-19 daily death counts was observed for diurnal temperature range (r = 0.44), but negative association for relative humidity (r = −0.32). In addition, one unit increase in diurnal temperature range was only associated with a 2.92% (95% CI: 0.61%, 5.28%) increase in COVID-19 deaths in lag 3. However, both 1 unit increase of temperature and absolute humidity were related to the decreased COVID-19 death in lag 3 and lag 5, with the greatest decrease both in lag 3 [−7.50% (95% CI: −10.99%, −3.88%) and −11.41% (95% CI: −19.68%, −2.29%)]. In summary, this study suggests the temperature variation and humidity may also be important factors affecting the COVID-19 mortality.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                yousaf_hu@yahoo.com
                Journal
                Environ Sci Pollut Res Int
                Environ Sci Pollut Res Int
                Environmental Science and Pollution Research International
                Springer Berlin Heidelberg (Berlin/Heidelberg )
                0944-1344
                1614-7499
                7 August 2021
                : 1-10
                Affiliations
                [1 ]GRID grid.440530.6, ISNI 0000 0004 0609 1900, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, , Hazara University, ; Mansehra, 23010 Pakistan
                [2 ]GRID grid.453548.b, ISNI 0000 0004 0368 7549, School of Statistics, , Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, ; Nanchang, 330013 China
                Author notes

                Responsible Editor: Lotfi Aleya

                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9508-7740
                Article
                15654
                10.1007/s11356-021-15654-z
                8349147
                34363580
                9db6f4f5-d6ea-4dcf-8f8f-fa66c34fdca6
                © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2021

                This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.

                History
                : 14 January 2021
                : 1 June 2021
                Funding
                Funded by: The Provincial Government of KhyberPkhuthunkhwa, Pakistan,
                Award ID: KP/HE/2020/1171901
                Award Recipient :
                Categories
                Research Article

                General environmental science
                corona virus,pm10,air pollution,specific mortality rate,local indicators of spatial autocorrelation

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