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      Temporal trend in mortality due to congenital heart disease in China from 2008 to 2021

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          Abstract

          Background:

          Congenital heart disease (CHD) is a leading cause of birth defect-related mortality. However, more recent CHD mortality data for China are lacking. Additionally, limited studies have evaluated sex, rural–urban, and region-specific disparities of CHD mortality in China.

          Methods:

          We designed a population-based study using data from the Dataset of National Mortality Surveillance in China between 2008 and 2021. We calculated age-adjusted CHD mortality using the sixth census data of China in 2010 as the standard population. We assessed the temporal trends in CHD mortality by age, sex, area, and region from 2008 to 2021 using the joinpoint regression model.

          Results:

          From 2008 to 2021, 33,534 deaths were attributed to CHD. The period witnessed a two-fold decrease in the age-adjusted CHD mortality from 1.61 to 0.76 per 100,000 persons (average annual percent change [AAPC] = −5.90%). Females tended to have lower age-adjusted CHD mortality than males, but with a similar decline rate from 2008 to 2021 (females: AAPC = −6.15%; males: AAPC = −5.84%). Similar AAPC values were observed among people living in urban (AAPC = −6.64%) and rural (AAPC = −6.12%) areas. Eastern regions experienced a more pronounced decrease in the age-adjusted CHD mortality (AAPC = −7.86%) than central (AAPC = −5.83%) and western regions (AAPC = −3.71%) between 2008 and 2021. Approximately half of the deaths (46.19%) due to CHD occurred during infancy. The CHD mortality rates in 2021 were lower than those in 2008 for people aged 0–39 years, with the largest decrease observed among children aged 1–4 years (AAPC = −8.26%), followed by infants (AAPC = −7.01%).

          Conclusions:

          CHD mortality in China has dramatically decreased from 2008 to 2021. The slower decrease in CHD mortality in the central and western regions than in the eastern regions suggested that public health policymakers should pay more attention to health resources and health education for central and western regions.

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          Most cited references29

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          Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases and Risk Factors, 1990–2019

          Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), principally ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke, are the leading cause of global mortality and a major contributor to disability. This paper reviews the magnitude of total CVD burden, including 13 underlying causes of cardiovascular death and 9 related risk factors, using estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019. GBD, an ongoing multinational collaboration to provide comparable and consistent estimates of population health over time, used all available population-level data sources on incidence, prevalence, case fatality, mortality, and health risks to produce estimates for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. Prevalent cases of total CVD nearly doubled from 271 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 257 to 285 million) in 1990 to 523 million (95% UI: 497 to 550 million) in 2019, and the number of CVD deaths steadily increased from 12.1 million (95% UI:11.4 to 12.6 million) in 1990, reaching 18.6 million (95% UI: 17.1 to 19.7 million) in 2019. The global trends for disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and years of life lost also increased significantly, and years lived with disability doubled from 17.7 million (95% UI: 12.9 to 22.5 million) to 34.4 million (95% UI:24.9 to 43.6 million) over that period. The total number of DALYs due to IHD has risen steadily since 1990, reaching 182 million (95% UI: 170 to 194 million) DALYs, 9.14 million (95% UI: 8.40 to 9.74 million) deaths in the year 2019, and 197 million (95% UI: 178 to 220 million) prevalent cases of IHD in 2019. The total number of DALYs due to stroke has risen steadily since 1990, reaching 143 million (95% UI: 133 to 153 million) DALYs, 6.55 million (95% UI: 6.00 to 7.02 million) deaths in the year 2019, and 101 million (95% UI: 93.2 to 111 million) prevalent cases of stroke in 2019. Cardiovascular diseases remain the leading cause of disease burden in the world. CVD burden continues its decades-long rise for almost all countries outside high-income countries, and alarmingly, the age-standardized rate of CVD has begun to rise in some locations where it was previously declining in high-income countries. There is an urgent need to focus on implementing existing cost-effective policies and interventions if the world is to meet the targets for Sustainable Development Goal 3 and achieve a 30% reduction in premature mortality due to noncommunicable diseases.
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            Cause-specific mortality for 240 causes in China during 1990-2013: a systematic subnational analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.

            China has experienced a remarkable epidemiological and demographic transition during the past three decades. Far less is known about this transition at the subnational level. Timely and accurate assessment of the provincial burden of disease is needed for evidence-based priority setting at the local level in China.
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              Permutation tests for joinpoint regression with applications to cancer rates

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Chin Med J (Engl)
                Chin Med J (Engl)
                CM9
                Chinese Medical Journal
                Lippincott Williams & Wilkins (Hagerstown, MD )
                0366-6999
                2542-5641
                25 April 2024
                20 March 2025
                : 138
                : 6
                : 693-701
                Affiliations
                [ 1 ]National Management Office of Neonatal Screening Project for Congenital Heart Disease, Children’s Hospital of Fudan University, National Children’s Medical Center, Shanghai 201102, China
                [ 2 ]Research Unit of Early Intervention of Genetically Related Childhood Cardiovascular Diseases (2018RU002), Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Shanghai 201102, China
                [ 3 ]Pediatric Heart Center, Children’s Hospital of Fudan University, National Children’s Medical Center, Shanghai 201102, China
                [ 4 ]Shanghai Key Laboratory of Birth Defects, Shanghai 201102, China
                [ 5 ]Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Clinical Trial Unit, Children’s Hospital of Fudan University, National Children’s Medical Center, Shanghai 201102, China
                Author notes
                Correspondence to: Guoying Huang, Pediatric Heart Center, Children’s Hospital of Fudan University, Shanghai 201102, China E-Mail: gyhuang@ 123456shmu.edu.cn Copyright © 2024 The Chinese Medical Association, produced by Wolters Kluwer, Inc. under the CC-BY-NC-ND license. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives License 4.0 (CCBY-NC-ND), where it is permissible to download and share the work provided it is properly cited. The work cannot be changed in any way or used commercially without permission from the journal.
                Article
                CMJ-2023-1786 00006
                10.1097/CM9.0000000000003057
                11925411
                38663857
                81606931-c86b-4f72-bc6c-233e093d82c0
                Copyright © 2024 The Chinese Medical Association, produced by Wolters Kluwer, Inc. under the CC-BY-NC-ND license.

                This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives License 4.0 (CCBY-NC-ND), where it is permissible to download and share the work provided it is properly cited. The work cannot be changed in any way or used commercially without permission from the journal.

                History
                : 10 July 2023
                Categories
                Original Article
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                congenital heart disease,time trend,mortality,public health

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