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      Atlantic overturning: new observations and challenges

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          Abstract

          This paper provides an introduction to the special issue of the Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London of papers from the 2022 Royal Society meeting on ‘Atlantic overturning: new observations and challenges'. It provides the background and rationale for the meeting, briefly summarizes prior progress on observing the Atlantic overturning circulation and draws out the new challenges that papers presented at the meeting raise, so pointing the way forward for future research.

          This article is part of a discussion meeting issue 'Atlantic overturning: new observations and challenges'.

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          Most cited references62

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          Temporal variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5 degrees N.

          The vigor of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC) is thought to be vulnerable to global warming, but its short-term temporal variability is unknown so changes inferred from sparse observations on the decadal time scale of recent climate change are uncertain. We combine continuous measurements of the MOC (beginning in 2004) using the purposefully designed transatlantic Rapid Climate Change array of moored instruments deployed along 26.5 degrees N, with time series of Gulf Stream transport and surface-layer Ekman transport to quantify its intra-annual variability. The year-long average overturning is 18.7 +/- 5.6 sverdrups (Sv) (range: 4.0 to 34.9 Sv, where 1 Sv = a flow of ocean water of 10(6) cubic meters per second). Interannual changes in the overturning can be monitored with a resolution of 1.5 Sv.
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            The Great Ocean Conveyor

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              Slowing of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 25 degrees N.

              The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation carries warm upper waters into far-northern latitudes and returns cold deep waters southward across the Equator. Its heat transport makes a substantial contribution to the moderate climate of maritime and continental Europe, and any slowdown in the overturning circulation would have profound implications for climate change. A transatlantic section along latitude 25 degrees N has been used as a baseline for estimating the overturning circulation and associated heat transport. Here we analyse a new 25 degrees N transatlantic section and compare it with four previous sections taken over the past five decades. The comparison suggests that the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation has slowed by about 30 per cent between 1957 and 2004. Whereas the northward transport in the Gulf Stream across 25 degrees N has remained nearly constant, the slowing is evident both in a 50 per cent larger southward-moving mid-ocean recirculation of thermocline waters, and also in a 50 per cent decrease in the southward transport of lower North Atlantic Deep Water between 3,000 and 5,000 m in depth. In 2004, more of the northward Gulf Stream flow was recirculating back southward in the thermocline within the subtropical gyre, and less was returning southward at depth.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: ConceptualizationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
                Role: Writing – review & editing
                Role: Writing – review & editing
                Journal
                Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci
                Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci
                RSTA
                roypta
                Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences
                The Royal Society
                1364-503X
                1471-2962
                December 11, 2023
                October 23, 2023
                October 23, 2023
                : 381
                : 2262 , Discussion meeting issue ‘Atlantic overturning: new observations and challenges’ organised and edited by M. A. Srokosz, N. P. Holliday and H. L. Bryden FRS
                : 20220196
                Affiliations
                [ 1 ] National Oceanography Centre, , Southampton SO14 3ZH, UK
                [ 2 ] School of Ocean and Earth Science, University of Southampton, , Empress Dock SO14 3ZH, UK
                Author notes

                One contribution of 13 to a discussion meeting issue ‘ Atlantic overturning: new observations and challenges’.

                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7347-7411
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9733-8002
                Article
                rsta20220196
                10.1098/rsta.2022.0196
                10590659
                37866387
                3a13c245-0871-4023-b044-225bdb05a3e5
                © 2023 The Authors.

                Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.

                History
                : August 16, 2023
                : August 16, 2023
                Categories
                1005
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                Introduction
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                December 11, 2023

                atlantic,overturning circulation,observations,amoc,rapid,osnap
                atlantic, overturning circulation, observations, amoc, rapid, osnap

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